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4th quarter 2008           


Residential building permit activity slows in the third quarter; but commercial sector continues to show strength

The number of building permits issued in Volusia County for new residential projects declined sharply in the third quarter amid growing concerns over the economy.

The number of permits issued in the quarter for new commercial projects also fell, but for the year-to-date remains ahead of last year’s pace.

Residential
During the three-month period that ended Sept. 30, there were 306 residential building permits issued countywide. This is 69 fewer residential permits than those issued during the second quarter of this year. There were 518 single family home permits issued during the third quarter of last year, according to permit data gathered by the county Division of Economic Development from the county and city building permit offices.

The average value of residential permits issued during the third quarter this year was just under $243,500, down from the $265,200 average value for the new homes permitted during the second quarter of this year. During the third quarter of last year the average residential permit value was $279,250.

“We’re certainly seeing a drop in the number of building permits issued,” said Janice Cornelius, the county’s chief deputy property appraiser, who also noted that the volume of permits issued for remodeling projects also is down, compared to year-ago levels. “Everybody’s holding tight right now and waiting to see what the housing market is going to do. The big question on builders’ minds is: ‘Has the market bottomed out yet?’”

While sales of existing single-family homes in Volusia County have picked up
recently—thanks to falling prices— builders for the most part have been hesitant to proceed with home construction unless they have commitments in hand from buyers, area industry observers say.

“We’ve pulled back and made adjustments,” said Roger Van Auker, vice president of development for the Henin Group, a DeBary-based real estate company that is developing a gated luxury community called Riviera Bella on the St. Johns River in DeBary.

“We’re not developing any more lots,” said Van Auker, who added his company has eight ready-to-move-in luxury homes available at Riviera Bella. “We’re happy with the inventory we’ve got.”

In September, Henin began construction of a presold $1.5 million luxury home at Riviera Bella, which should be ready for the buyer’s occupancy by next summer, said Van Auker.

Since 2004, when Henin completed its first model homes at Riviera Bella, the company has built 125 homes in the 300-acre community, which has the potential to grow to as many as 444 homes.

Because Henin is independent and locally owned, Van Auker said his company has the ability to slow the build out of its planned communities until market
conditions become more favorable, unlike some national competitors.

Van Auker said his company remains bullish about the long term growth potential for DeBary and the greater southwest Volusia area. He said Riviera Bella is home already to a number of residents who commute to jobs in the metro Orlando area.

The proposed Central Florida commuter rail project’s station in DeBary will make southwest Volusia even more desirable as a place to live for people who
work in the metro Orlando area, Van Auker believes.

Growth continues to occur in pockets in other parts of Volusia County as well. In the third quarter, DeLand issued 76 single family home permits, the most of all jurisdictions. New Smyrna Beach was next with 54 residential permits, Port Orange issued 39, Daytona Beach issued 31, and Ormond Beach issued 22 residential permits.

The county issued 31 residential permits in the third quarter, most of them west of Interstate 95. Rick Michael, director of Volusia County’s Division of Economic Development, said the final three months of 2008 should be telling as to whether the downturn in the third quarter in residential construction activity is an aberration or a sign the housing market slump is worsening.

“I still think we bottomed out in the fourth quarter of 2007,” said Michael. “We had a moderate gain in the first quarter of 2008, followed by a healthy increase in the second quarter.”

Commercial
In the three-month period that ended Sept. 30, 43 commercial building permits were issued countywide, down from the 56 commercial permits during April-
May-June and the 62 commercial projects permitted during the third quarter of 2007.

The combined value of the commercial projects permitted during the quarter that ended Sept. 30 was $78.9 million, down from the $114.2 million value of the projects permitted during the second quarter of this year and $95.7 million for the projects permitted during the third quarter of last year.

While commercial building permit activity slowed in the most recent quarter, the 184 commercial permits issued in the county during the first nine months of this year is up compared with the number issued through the first nine months of 2007 (159). In fact, the total number of commercial projects permitted through the first three quarters of this year matches the total number commercial permits issued in all of last year.

“That’s kind of a surprising figure,” said Cornelius of the increase in commercial
development activity this year. Cornelius added that commercial development held its own last year in comparison with 2006 levels, even though residential construction last year declined sharply.

Michael said that when looking at the first three quarters as a whole, commercial development “is as strong as it has been.”

Notable commercial construction projects under way in Volusia County include The Pavilion shopping center in Port Orange, and the Daytona Live! entertainment/retail/office mixed-use complex that is being built on W. International Speedway Boulevard in Daytona Beach, across the street from Daytona International Speedway.

Port Orange has had the biggest jump in commercial development activity so far this year with 31 permits issued for commercial projects through the first three quarters of 2008, compared with only five issued during the same period a year ago.

Other cities experiencing an increase in commercial development so far this year include New Smyrna Beach with eight permits issued, and Edgewater with seven issued.

Daytona Beach has issued 77 commercial permits so far this year. This compares with 69 commercial permits issued through the first three quarters of 2007. Orange City has issued 32 permits so far this year, compared with 23 through the first three quarters of 2007.

Unincorporated Volusia County also has seen an increase in commercial development with 15 permits issued so far for projects this year, compared with nine issued during the same period a year ago.


Division of Economic Development
700 Catalina Drive, Suite 200, Daytona Beach, FL 32114
Telephone:
386-248-8048   FAX: 386 238-4761   Toll Free: 800-554-3801

Rob Ehrhardt
Manager

doed@volusia.org